We have a big week ahead of us… lots of important economic data will be released and price action will dictate to me if we are truly going to rally 10% higher from these levels.
I expect Greece will get more money… even though that country is the ultimate money-pit.
I feel the EU should cut their loss… let Greece default… and kick them out of the union… But hey, I am not the one in charge so go ahead and throw good money after bad.
Spain is a mess, but that isn’t really news. The Catalan secession is interesting, lets see where that goes. But honestly, I am not concerned with Spain until their debt yields start kicking higher… currently they are well below crisis levels.
On the fiscal cliff front… I would like to see some progress this week on a compromise… particularly with the middle class tax cut extension. There is clearly enough bi-partisan support to get that done… hopefully they can make it happen.
I have five ideas for longs going into this week… I will likely take positions in these names if they show strength early this week. Each stock is trading ≥ 20% below their respective intrinsic value (by my calculation) and is set up for a reversal (says my technical analysis)
Express Scripts, 41% intrinsic value.
Merck, 36% below intrinsic value.
F5 Networks, 36% below intrinsic value.
Verizon, 25% below intrinsic value.
General Electric, 24% below intrinsic value.